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café Annalisa  the meeting place for discussions about how Annalisa could help decide... choose... judge... select...    the best...   or the most

 

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Bowel Cancer PDF Print E-mail
For many years Jim Dolan has been exploring the use of the Analytic Hierarchy Process in shared (patient-doctor) decision making regarding various bowel (colorectal) cancer screening options. He concludes that his studies show that “multi-criteria methods such as AHP can provide an effective basis for developing successful shared decision making programmes regarding preventive health and similar medical interventions. Such programmes have the potential to improve the quality of clinical decision-making, improve the outcomes of preventive health services, and strengthen doctor-patient relationships”(2000, p45).

  • Avoid Colorectal Cancer
  • Avoid Side Effects
  • Avoid False Positives

  • No screen
  • Faecal occult blood tests annually
  • Flexible sigmoidoscopy every 5 years
  • Faecal occult blood tests annually AND Flexible sigmoidoscopy every 5 years
  • Double contrast barium enema every 5 years
  • Colonoscopy every 10 years
The Annalisa snapshots below compare the results of using Dolan’s original probability data for a 50 year old average risk patient as the Ratings (first 'simple' and then‘idealised’ to make the best option on each attribute equal to 1) and the results he arrived at after transforming them into ratios and normalising and idealising.
In both cases the illustrative weights are those arrived at by the standard AHP pair-wise comparison matrix method.
Small changes in the ranking of screening options are observable between Annalisa and AHP.
Dolan estimates the AHP process takes about 35 minutes for the average patient.
TipJG Dolan (2000). "Involving patients in decisions regarding preventive health interventions using the analytic hierarchy process." Health Expectations 3: 37-45.

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